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Risk management - The Cumulative Probability graph

The Cumulative Probability graph

Cumulative probability graphCumulative probability graph

The Cumulative Probability graph of the simple estimating of risk [see Simple estimating of risk] is shown above.

Up to 6 weeks there is no likelihood that the delay will be lower raising to 0.2 (20 %) at the beginning of the 8 to 10 week range. The probability then rises to 0.7 (0.2 + 0.5) at the beginning of the 10 to 12 weeks, finally rising to 1.0 (100%) at 12 weeks.

Below 6 weeks is zero probability and above 12 weeks 100%.